Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000043 0.000047 0.000051 0.000056 0.000061 0.000067 0.000074
2025-11-23 0.000038 0.000044 0.000050 0.000057 0.000066 0.000076 0.000088
2025-11-30 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000057 0.000067 0.000080 0.000097
2025-12-07 0.000031 0.000037 0.000044 0.000054 0.000066 0.000081 0.000101
2025-12-14 0.000028 0.000034 0.000042 0.000052 0.000065 0.000081 0.000104
2025-12-21 0.000025 0.000032 0.000039 0.000050 0.000064 0.000082 0.000108
2025-12-28 0.000023 0.000029 0.000037 0.000048 0.000062 0.000082 0.000110
2026-01-04 0.000021 0.000027 0.000035 0.000046 0.000061 0.000081 0.000111
2026-01-11 0.000020 0.000026 0.000034 0.000045 0.000061 0.000083 0.000117
2026-01-18 0.000020 0.000026 0.000034 0.000046 0.000064 0.000088 0.000127
2026-01-25 0.000022 0.000029 0.000040 0.000055 0.000078 0.000111 0.000166
2026-02-01 0.000020 0.000028 0.000038 0.000053 0.000076 0.000110 0.000167
2026-02-08 0.000019 0.000026 0.000036 0.000051 0.000074 0.000110 0.000171
2026-02-15 0.000018 0.000025 0.000036 0.000052 0.000077 0.000117 0.000187
2026-02-22 0.000017 0.000024 0.000035 0.000051 0.000078 0.000121 0.000198
2026-03-01 0.000016 0.000023 0.000033 0.000049 0.000076 0.000119 0.000200
2026-03-08 0.000015 0.000021 0.000031 0.000047 0.000073 0.000118 0.000201
2026-03-15 0.000014 0.000020 0.000029 0.000045 0.000072 0.000117 0.000205
2026-03-22 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028 0.000043 0.000070 0.000115 0.000205
2026-03-29 0.000012 0.000018 0.000026 0.000042 0.000068 0.000114 0.000206
2026-04-05 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026 0.000041 0.000068 0.000116 0.000215
2026-04-12 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026 0.000042 0.000071 0.000123 0.000234
2026-04-19 0.000012 0.000019 0.000030 0.000050 0.000087 0.000157 0.000312